empty
 
 
29.09.2023 08:16 AM
USD/CAD: upside ended, new leg down

The USD/CAD pair is trading in the red at 1.3470 at the time of writing and it seems very heavy. The Dollar Index's massive drop forced the USD to depreciate versus its rivals. The currency pair signaled exhausted buyers, so a downward movement is in the cards.

Fundamentally, the greenback took a hit from the Final GDP, Pending Home Sales, and Final GDP Price Index data. Today, the economic figures should be decisive. The Canadian GDP may report a 0.1% growth versus the 0.2% drop in the previous reporting period.

On the other hand, the US Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment could remain steady at 67.7, Chicago PMI may drop from 48.7 points to 47.5 points, while Core PCE Price Index could report a 0.2% growth again. The US is to release the Goods Trade Balance, Personal Income, Personal Spending, and Prelim Wholesale Inventories data as well. Poor US figures could punish the USD.

USD/CAD Trading In Red!

This image is no longer relevant

As you can see on the H1 chart, the rate increased within an up channel. Its failure to reach and retest the channel's upside line signaled exhausted buyers.

Staying near the uptrend line announced a potential breakdown and a deeper drop. Personally, I've drawn a descending pitchfork, hoping that I'll catch a downward movement. The rate tested and retested the upper median line (uml), registering only false breakouts.

USD/CAD Forecast!

Dropping and closing below 1.3470 and below the weekly pivot point of 1.3460 activates more declines. This is seen as a bearish signal.

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Ralph Shedler
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $6000 more!
    In December we raffle $6000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback